Editor’s Note: Ben Ferree joined Massive Report on loan from Pro Soccer USA until the end of the MLS season, bringing his regular gambling column to our pages. Ferree brings his Best Bets column for Massive Report for MLS is Back Tournament. Enjoy!
Alright, it’s been a tough two rounds of Best Bets at the MLS is Back Tournament. I almost took “best” right out of the headline. But in a way, isn’t going 0-7 just as impressive as going 7-0? Tough beats on the Sporting Kansas City and Portland Timbers games going to penalties stopped last week from being 2-1, even though the winners were correct in the end. Will this stop us from publishing another column? Of course not!
New to betting? Odds are expressed around the number 100, meaning $100 being wagered. For example, if a bet is listed as +200, it means betting $100 would win you $200. Conversely, a bet listed as -200 would mean you have to bet $200 to win $100.
Note: betting in knockout games is a little different. Over/unders and win/losses only apply to regulation time. If the games go to extra time, that doesn’t count for the purposes of the bet.
Philadelphia Union and Sporting Kansas City under 2.5 goals, +110
The under would’ve been a big winner in most games last week. Philadelphia’s offense looked decent enough, but Kansas City struggled to score anything in front of the wall of Thomas Hasal. Perhaps that offensive floundering will provide another low scoring game.
Minnesota and San Jose have played once already this season, and Minnesota won 5-2. Yet United finds itself as an underdog again, perhaps thanks to the sandbagging Adrian Heath. We’ll bet on Minnesota to win again, and add some insurance with the over. San Jose has scored 11 goals in the past three games, so if the team does pull off a win, they’ll probably do it with some flair.
LAFC is the presumptive favorites to win the entire MLS is Back Tournament at this point. On paper, Orlando is the weakest team remaining. Time to send the only home team in the tournament packing.
Profit if every bet is correct: $484.50
Profit to date: $-568.80 (this number was $131.20 just last week!)
Picks Record: 4-9
Lock of the Week Record: 1-3